Mystery bettor makes $436,000 on Maduro’s ouster ahead of US announcement

A single bettor made nearly half a million dollars on prediction market Polymarket by wagering on the fall of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro just hours before the US officially announced his capture. The timing of the trades has raised concerns over possible insider knowledge of the US operation.

Data shows odds of Maduro’s removal surged sharply shortly before President Donald Trump confirmed the seizure, prompting calls for scrutiny of prediction markets. US lawmakers are now considering restrictions to prevent government officials from profiting from non-public information.